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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182147100200250127140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
6Coral scored#4
29Coral points20
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
13Coral scored#19
48Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
72Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points8
127Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#18
63.22.6
63.761.0
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
blue by 5.0
70
#16
68.20.2
64.864.6
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
Second
5907
#10
54.92.6
56.353.7
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
red by 11.6
43.30.2
42.141.9
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Third
1711
#38
37.02.6
43.741.0
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
red by 10.9
4453
#35
26.20.2
25.325.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned