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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148204100250180201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points47
37Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +14
21Coral scored#28
75Coral points99
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
121Total teleop135
Reef
11L4#12
8L3#16
3L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
8Foul points0
180Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#22
59.91.3
54.455.7
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
blue by 17.6
77.60.7
74.875.4
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
Second
2771
#11
49.61.3
48.649.9
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
blue by 25.2
74.80.7
72.673.2
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Third
818
#37
41.31.3
38.239.5
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
red by 5.2
8517
#33
36.00.7
32.433.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned