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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174168140160180200220189169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
0Teleop0
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points23
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
17Coral scored#25
60Coral points91
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
102Total teleop127
Reef
12L4#12
8L3#10
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
189Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#16
68.21.4
64.666.1
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 6.7
74.80.5
73.273.7
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
50.81.4
49.651.1
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
blue by 1.1
247
#39
51.90.5
51.451.9
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
Third
8873
#23
46.81.4
45.446.8
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
red by 18.5
4998
#21
28.30.5
27.828.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned