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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206168100150250213205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
27Coral scored#28
97Coral points100
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
30Processor points18
16Net points24
46Algae points42
143Total teleop142
Reef
11L4#12
7L3#9
11L2#9
7L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
213Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.5
69.470.9
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
red by 7.1
2611
#27
64.72.4
61.263.6
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Second
2832
#12
68.71.5
67.368.9
Auto23.3
Teleop39.3
End6.0
red by 16.6
3770
#26
52.12.4
49.752.1
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
Third
43.31.5
41.943.4
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 6.0
4003
#29
49.32.4
46.949.3
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned