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Red215
553054.0
3385.2
353969.5
Blue238
550948.2
341461.8
2781.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218186150200250300215238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
10Coral scored#9
52Coral points45
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +8
22Coral scored#27
79Coral points97
4Processor algae#5
10Net algae#6
24Processor points30
40Net points24
64Algae points54
143Total teleop151
Reef
12L4#10
7L3#14
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
215Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
85.20.1
84.284.2
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
red by 4.1
27
#3
81.13.4
76.579.9
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
3539
#13
69.50.1
68.468.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
red by 7.7
3414
#19
61.83.4
57.360.7
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
Third
5530
#32
54.00.1
52.152.0
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
red by 5.8
5509
#14
48.23.4
41.845.2
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned