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Qual 782025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red135
661850.5
365555.5
148148.8
Blue176
851736.0
550948.2
931256.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177140100150200250135176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points32
51Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +43
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
68Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#8
6L3#7
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
135Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#15
55.51.7
58.1→56.3
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
blue by 1.2
9312
#2
56.73.0
52.9→55.8
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
Second
6618
#20
50.51.7
52.4→50.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
red by 2.3
5509
#14
48.23.0
45.2→48.2
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
Third
1481
#25
48.81.7
50.5→48.8
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
red by 12.7
8517
#33
36.03.0
33.0→36.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned