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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16816550100150200250196100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+106Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave3
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points6
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
24Coral scored#12
85Coral points43
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
129Total teleop65
Reef
12L4#5
10L3#5
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
43Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
196Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.92.0
65.867.8
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
red by 14.5
4422
#17
55.44.0
58.554.5
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
Second
857
#30
49.32.0
47.349.3
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
red by 12.2
1711
#38
37.04.0
41.037.0
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
Third
8280
#36
36.12.0
34.236.1
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
blue by 0.4
66
#40
36.54.0
40.236.2
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned