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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144176100200250116193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+67
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +32
9Leave3
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points48
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +35
18Coral scored#22
63Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
81Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#12
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points0
116Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#28
53.01.1
54.153.0
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
blue by 6.9
2145
#22
59.92.1
55.757.8
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
Second
2771
#11
49.61.1
49.948.9
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
blue by 5.3
5907
#10
54.92.1
53.755.8
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
Third
9685
#34
26.91.1
28.026.9
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
blue by 27.0
5530
#32
54.02.1
52.054.1
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned