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Red213
7068.2
191869.9
214559.9
Blue162
860871.8
442255.4
931256.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212196100150250300213162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
10Coral scored#10
48Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +58
28Coral scored#16
102Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
6Processor points12
28Net points8
34Algae points20
136Total teleop78
Reef
13L4#13
7L3#6
10L2#3
8L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
213Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.90.4
69.269.6
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
blue by 1.8
71.80.5
71.471.0
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
Second
70
#16
68.20.4
67.567.8
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
red by 11.4
56.70.5
56.455.9
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
Third
2145
#22
59.90.4
59.259.6
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
red by 4.5
4422
#17
55.40.5
55.054.6
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7