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Red231
353969.5
721163.2
2781.1
Blue183
365555.5
6867.6
590754.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228185100150200250300231183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave0
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points30
57Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
18Coral scored#21
64Coral points75
4Processor algae#4
9Net algae#10
24Processor points24
36Net points40
60Algae points64
124Total teleop139
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#41
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +48
24Foul points0
231Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
81.10.1
80.179.9
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
red by 13.5
68
#24
67.60.1
67.567.6
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
3539
#13
69.50.1
68.568.3
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
red by 14.0
3655
#15
55.50.1
55.555.5
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
Third
7211
#18
63.20.1
62.262.0
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
red by 8.3
5907
#10
54.90.1
54.954.9
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0