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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227211100150250300350400204202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+20
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points31
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +24
26Coral scored#26
92Coral points94
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
12Processor points18
20Net points36
32Algae points54
124Total teleop148
Reef
9L4#9
13L3#9
5L2#9
7L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#44
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
204Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
85.20.2
84.884.7
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
red by 10.4
74.80.0
74.874.8
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
77.60.2
77.277.0
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
red by 12.9
2611
#27
64.70.0
64.764.7
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Third
2771
#11
49.60.2
49.249.1
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
blue by 12.2
3414
#19
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3