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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195230100150250300198198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave0
10Coral scored#11
49Coral points53
58Total auto53
TeleoperatedBlue +15
25Coral scored#26
90Coral points93
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
12Processor points24
12Net points12
24Algae points36
114Total teleop129
Reef
12L4#11
12L3#10
6L2#10
5L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
198Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.4
71.171.4
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
blue by 9.3
27
#3
81.10.3
80.480.1
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
56.70.4
56.056.4
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
blue by 12.8
3539
#13
69.50.3
68.868.5
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Third
4422
#17
55.40.4
54.755.0
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
blue by 7.8
7211
#18
63.20.3
62.562.2
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7