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Red228
277149.6
3385.2
205477.6
Blue230
7068.2
191869.9
214559.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228207100150250300350228230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
12Coral scored#7
58Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +10
30Coral scored#32
108Coral points114
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
134Total teleop144
Reef
18L4#12
9L3#12
10L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points6
228Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
85.20.4
84.484.8
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
red by 15.3
69.90.7
68.669.2
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
Second
77.60.4
76.877.2
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
red by 9.4
70
#16
68.20.7
66.867.5
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
Third
2771
#11
49.60.4
48.949.2
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
blue by 10.3
2145
#22
59.90.7
58.659.2
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9