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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154221100200250300150225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +49
21Coral scored#29
76Coral points105
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
18Processor points30
20Net points28
38Algae points58
114Total teleop163
Reef
9L4#15
5L3#8
6L2#7
7L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points2
150Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#32
54.00.1
53.954.0
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
blue by 20.9
74.80.5
74.374.8
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
6618
#20
50.50.1
50.550.5
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
blue by 14.2
2611
#27
64.70.5
64.264.7
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Third
43.30.1
43.243.3
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 18.6
3414
#19
61.80.5
61.361.8
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3