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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206159100250300189139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
10Coral scored#6
49Coral points30
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +22
21Coral scored#19
77Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
115Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#10
11L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
189Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.2
70.971.1
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
red by 17.8
5530
#32
54.00.2
54.153.9
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Second
56.70.2
55.856.0
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
red by 6.2
6618
#20
50.50.2
50.750.5
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
Third
4422
#17
55.40.2
54.554.7
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
red by 12.1
43.30.2
43.443.2
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9