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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225210150200250300274232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
+6Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
9Coral scored#8
43Coral points38
43Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +10
35Coral scored#31
125Coral points111
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
153Total teleop163
Reef
14L4#16
12L3#12
12L2#8
6L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#50
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +42
42Foul points6
274Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
81.10.4
79.980.4
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
red by 6.2
74.80.6
73.774.3
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
3539
#13
69.50.4
68.468.8
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
red by 4.8
2611
#27
64.70.6
63.664.2
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Third
7211
#18
63.20.4
62.162.5
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
red by 1.4
3414
#19
61.80.6
60.761.3
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3