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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225216150200250300251195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+34Teleop
+54Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
12Coral scored#6
62Coral points31
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +9
29Coral scored#29
104Coral points103
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
24Processor points24
20Net points12
44Algae points36
148Total teleop139
Reef
16L4#10
13L3#14
9L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#42
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +56
2Foul points0
251Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.8
80.781.5
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 2.4
4391
#11
79.10.2
79.379.1
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
67
#1
80.40.8
79.580.4
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 9.6
70.70.2
71.070.7
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
5843
#34
49.60.8
48.849.6
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 2.2
3322
#14
51.80.2
52.151.8
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7