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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224213150200250300230245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
9Coral scored#10
44Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +2
22Coral scored#34
78Coral points124
9Processor algae#1
7Net algae#7
54Processor points6
28Net points28
82Algae points34
160Total teleop158
Reef
12L4#16
8L3#14
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
230Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.3
80.380.7
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 2.4
4391
#11
79.10.8
78.579.3
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
67
#1
80.40.3
79.279.5
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 9.6
70.70.8
70.271.0
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
5843
#34
49.60.3
48.548.8
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 2.2
3322
#14
51.80.8
51.252.1
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7