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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22221650100150200250300350400242187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +19
30Coral scored#32
108Coral points115
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
24Processor points6
24Net points16
48Algae points22
156Total teleop137
Reef
17L4#14
6L3#13
8L2#10
7L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#45
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
242Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.5
79.880.3
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 2.4
4391
#11
79.10.4
78.978.5
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
67
#1
80.40.5
78.779.2
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 9.6
70.70.4
70.670.2
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
5843
#34
49.60.5
47.948.5
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 2.2
3322
#14
51.80.4
51.751.2
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7