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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179221100150200250300208216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
9Coral scored#7
44Coral points34
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +12
30Coral scored#24
108Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#10
12Processor points18
12Net points40
24Algae points58
132Total teleop144
Reef
16L4#13
12L3#7
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points6
208Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#15
62.20.7
61.562.2
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
blue by 16.9
4391
#11
79.10.1
78.878.9
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
217
#8
57.90.7
57.257.9
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
blue by 12.9
70.70.1
70.570.6
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
2851
#20
50.80.7
50.150.8
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
blue by 1.1
3322
#14
51.80.1
51.651.7
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7