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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197216150250300199249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +30
24Coral scored#37
87Coral points133
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#3
24Processor points24
28Net points12
52Algae points36
139Total teleop169
Reef
14L4#20
6L3#7
7L2#11
5L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
199Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.2
68.768.8
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
blue by 10.2
4391
#11
79.10.9
77.878.8
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
5505
#16
61.00.2
60.861.0
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
blue by 9.7
70.70.9
69.570.5
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Third
3546
#24
53.90.2
53.753.9
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
red by 2.0
3322
#14
51.80.9
50.651.6
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7