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Red233
276781.5
584349.6
6780.4
Blue193
21757.9
285150.8
511462.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225176100150200250300233193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +23
22Coral scored#23
80Coral points83
5Processor algae#2
9Net algae#7
30Processor points12
36Net points28
66Algae points40
146Total teleop123
Reef
10L4#13
10L3#7
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
233Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.6
79.279.8
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 19.3
5114
#15
62.20.6
60.961.5
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Second
67
#1
80.40.6
78.178.7
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 22.5
217
#8
57.90.6
56.657.2
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Third
5843
#34
49.60.6
47.347.9
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 1.1
2851
#20
50.80.6
49.550.1
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1