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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167157120140180200220177153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
22Coral scored#18
78Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
104Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#5
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
177Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#13
73.01.0
61.362.3
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
blue by 6.0
4391
#11
79.10.1
77.877.7
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
1506
#17
55.11.0
52.753.7
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
red by 8.2
5436
#32
46.90.1
42.842.7
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Third
6570
#21
48.41.0
39.440.4
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
red by 12.1
6033
#18
36.40.1
25.725.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned