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Qual 22025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red147
485539.1
600248.6
1058964.7
Blue153
439850.5
168448.7
21757.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171133100150200250147153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
22Coral scored#21
79Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
6Processor points18
16Net points28
22Algae points46
101Total teleop123
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points0
147Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10589
#25
64.71.9
61.5→59.6
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
red by 6.9
217
#8
57.90.5
46.9→47.4
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
6002
#40
48.61.9
64.7→62.9
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
blue by 1.9
4398
#6
50.50.5
48.7→49.3
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
Third
4855
#26
39.11.9
35.3→33.5
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
blue by 9.7
1684
#29
48.70.5
38.2→38.7
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned