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Qual 32025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red161
354653.9
716670.7
285150.8
Blue100
569537.7
335752.4
1065431.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510850200250161100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+53Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points47
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
117Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#7
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
161Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#5
70.71.1
59.9→61.0
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 18.3
3357
#22
52.40.3
45.2→44.9
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
Second
3546
#24
53.91.1
46.8→47.9
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
red by 16.2
5695
#36
37.70.3
31.8→31.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Third
2851
#20
50.81.1
37.9→39.0
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
red by 19.3
10654
#28
31.40.3
27.4→27.1
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed