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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159171120140180200220105182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+65
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points37
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +41
15Coral scored#26
53Coral points94
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
85Total teleop126
Reef
8L4#12
3L3#11
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points0
105Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#22
52.42.9
47.044.1
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
blue by 20.6
7769
#13
73.01.6
62.664.2
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
6002
#40
48.62.9
58.355.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
blue by 9.2
3668
#19
57.81.6
48.550.1
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
Third
2620
#31
44.12.9
37.134.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
red by 1.4
5534
#39
42.71.6
41.242.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned