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Qual 202025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red120
485539.1
603336.4
717452.3
Blue94
332251.8
360340.8
354653.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161455010020012094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points26
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
88Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
120Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#12
52.30.2
44.3→44.5
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
blue by 1.6
3546
#24
53.93.2
46.7→43.5
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
Second
4855
#26
39.10.2
35.9→36.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
blue by 12.7
3322
#14
51.83.2
47.0→43.8
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
Third
6033
#18
36.40.2
26.1→26.3
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End9.3
blue by 4.5
3603
#33
40.83.2
37.2→34.0
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned