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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150177100200250116175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points29
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +50
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points77
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
6Processor points30
12Net points20
18Algae points50
77Total teleop127
Reef
11L4#10
3L3#6
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
116Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
80.42.4
73.871.4
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 11.5
68.80.0
57.357.3
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
5695
#36
37.72.4
33.130.7
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
blue by 28.2
65.90.0
53.653.6
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
Third
6120
#30
37.62.4
33.331.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
blue by 12.8
50.50.0
53.353.3
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned