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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133128050100150200250300100158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave0
4Coral scored#10
19Coral points50
19Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points54
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
18Processor points18
8Net points12
26Algae points30
67Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
100Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#34
49.61.4
47.946.5
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 14.1
63.82.4
42.444.8
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Second
5436
#32
46.91.4
43.341.9
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
blue by 15.2
5114
#15
62.22.4
43.445.8
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Third
31.41.4
29.628.2
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
blue by 12.0
9776
#23
43.42.4
35.738.1
Auto6.9
Teleop34.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned