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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14019450100250300186190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points37
40Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +24
21Coral scored#28
76Coral points102
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
12Processor points18
32Net points24
44Algae points42
120Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#13
11L3#11
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#44
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
186Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#19
57.82.9
45.648.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
blue by 23.7
81.50.5
75.475.9
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
Second
548
#10
49.02.9
44.347.2
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1
blue by 11.9
5505
#16
61.00.5
54.755.2
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
Third
6570
#21
48.42.9
40.943.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
blue by 2.3
2851
#20
50.80.5
41.341.8
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed