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Qual 162025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red111
81536.5
686140.0
262044.1
Blue213
1058964.7
776973.0
835233.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12717850100150200250111213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+100
Endgame+102
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
4Coral scored#7
18Coral points35
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +83
13Coral scored#31
46Coral points111
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#3
12Processor points30
12Net points12
24Algae points42
70Total teleop153
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#11
3L2#10
1L1 · trough#7
22Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
0Foul points0
111Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#31
44.11.5
38.6→37.1
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
blue by 28.9
7769
#13
73.02.8
59.8→62.6
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
6861
#37
40.01.5
40.5→39.0
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
blue by 24.7
10589
#25
64.72.8
61.2→64.0
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Third
815
#38
36.51.5
38.0→36.5
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
red by 3.5
8352
#27
33.02.8
33.0→35.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned