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Qual 152025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red151
21757.9
553442.7
150655.1
Blue159
511037.1
335752.4
553563.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155146100200250151159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
24Coral scored#24
86Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
116Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#10
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
151Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
57.90.1
49.8→49.7
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
blue by 5.5
5535
#7
63.31.0
52.6→53.6
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Second
1506
#17
55.10.1
52.5→52.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
red by 2.7
3357
#22
52.41.0
46.0→47.0
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
Third
5534
#39
42.70.1
41.3→41.2
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
red by 5.6
5110
#35
37.11.0
34.1→35.1
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned