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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125141050100200250140166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+36
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
20Coral scored#23
73Coral points81
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
103Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#7
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
140Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#29
48.70.9
35.036.0
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
blue by 6.4
1506
#17
55.12.0
52.454.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
Second
6570
#21
48.40.9
43.844.8
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
blue by 2.3
2851
#20
50.82.0
41.843.8
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
Third
8352
#27
33.00.9
35.836.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
blue by 4.6
6120
#30
37.62.0
31.032.9
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned