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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184151100200250172152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +9
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
107Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
172Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
80.40.5
71.470.9
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 19.4
5505
#16
61.00.4
55.254.8
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
Second
3322
#14
51.80.5
43.843.3
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
blue by 6.1
217
#8
57.90.4
49.749.2
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Third
50.50.5
53.352.8
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
red by 3.5
5436
#32
46.90.4
41.941.5
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned