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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196163100150250220189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+11Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
28Coral scored#26
101Coral points94
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
12Processor points24
24Net points32
36Algae points56
137Total teleop150
Reef
10L4#11
9L3#7
12L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#41
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
220Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.52.0
75.977.9
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 10.8
70.71.3
58.459.8
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Second
63.32.0
53.655.6
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
blue by 5.5
68.81.3
57.358.6
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Third
7174
#12
52.32.0
44.546.5
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
red by 13.2
4855
#26
39.11.3
36.137.4
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned