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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137157050100200250300350130149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#21
74Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
94Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
130Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#34
49.60.1
46.546.7
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 16.2
65.90.8
53.654.4
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
Second
6570
#21
48.40.1
44.844.9
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
blue by 0.2
6002
#40
48.60.8
55.456.2
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
Third
3603
#33
40.80.1
34.034.1
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
red by 9.4
31.40.8
28.229.0
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned