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Qual 412025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red148
584349.6
262044.1
485539.1
Blue215
511462.2
6780.4
285150.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13419950100150250300148215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+67
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +53
14Coral scored#26
50Coral points95
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
18Processor points30
24Net points20
42Algae points50
92Total teleop145
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#11
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
148Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#34
49.60.5
49.1→49.6
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 30.7
67
#1
80.41.7
72.7→74.4
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
2620
#31
44.10.5
38.3→38.8
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
blue by 18.0
5114
#15
62.21.7
54.9→56.6
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Third
4855
#26
39.10.5
39.4→39.9
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
blue by 11.7
2851
#20
50.81.7
48.1→49.8
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned