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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166168140160180200153176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave3
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points41
22Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
21Coral scored#22
75Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
117Total teleop106
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
153Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.4
59.960.3
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
blue by 9.7
7769
#13
73.01.9
64.866.7
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
6002
#40
48.60.4
55.055.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
blue by 3.2
3322
#14
51.81.9
50.152.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
Third
5695
#36
37.70.4
32.532.8
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
red by 0.6
5110
#35
37.11.9
32.434.3
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned