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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195159100250251165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +43
31Coral scored#26
112Coral points95
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
24Processor points6
28Net points20
52Algae points26
164Total teleop121
Reef
18L4#13
13L3#8
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
52Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
251Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#11
79.13.7
75.779.3
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
red by 14.3
64.70.1
68.868.7
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Second
3668
#19
57.83.7
53.757.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
red by 10.9
5436
#32
46.90.1
42.442.3
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Third
3546
#24
53.93.7
46.950.5
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
red by 16.2
6120
#30
37.60.1
36.035.9
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned