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Qual 442025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red190
553442.7
603336.4
276781.5
Blue145
657048.4
571265.9
686140.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17516504006008001,000190145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
29Coral points13
38Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +10
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
116Total teleop106
Reef
10L4#9
12L3#8
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
190Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#4
81.51.7
80.1→81.8
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 15.6
5712
#3
65.90.9
58.5→57.6
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
Second
5534
#39
42.71.7
43.8→45.5
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
blue by 5.7
6570
#21
48.40.9
44.9→44.0
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
Third
6033
#18
36.41.7
29.0→30.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End9.3
blue by 3.7
6861
#37
40.00.9
43.6→42.8
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned