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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150185100200250300180188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +18
20Coral scored#30
72Coral points108
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
112Total teleop130
Reef
9L4#11
7L3#10
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#9
37Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
180Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.9
52.254.2
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
blue by 7.0
70.70.8
66.367.0
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
Second
1506
#17
55.11.9
53.755.6
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
red by 2.8
7174
#12
52.30.8
46.447.2
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
Third
3603
#33
40.81.9
33.935.8
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
blue by 9.6
50.50.8
52.553.3
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned