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Qual 52025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red144
332251.8
835233.0
553442.7
Blue176
276781.5
366857.8
977643.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11217350100150200250144176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
7Coral scored#9
33Coral points44
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#21
69Coral points76
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#2
12Processor points24
16Net points8
28Algae points32
97Total teleop108
Reef
12L4#11
5L3#7
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
144Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#14
51.81.8
43.6→45.5
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
blue by 29.7
2767
#4
81.51.0
73.3→74.3
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
Second
5534
#39
42.71.8
38.6→40.4
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
blue by 15.0
3668
#19
57.81.0
46.5→47.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
Third
8352
#27
33.01.8
28.9→30.7
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
blue by 10.4
9776
#23
43.41.0
35.9→36.9
Auto6.9
Teleop34.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned