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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126166100150200203216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+17
Endgame+7
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave0
5Coral scored#10
23Coral points51
26Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +8
30Coral scored#29
109Coral points105
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
141Total teleop133
Reef
13L4#13
13L3#12
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points6
203Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.94.0
49.153.2
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
blue by 14.5
67
#1
80.42.5
74.677.1
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
7174
#12
52.34.0
40.544.6
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
blue by 11.5
63.82.5
35.838.3
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Third
548
#10
49.04.0
37.841.8
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1
blue by 0.6
5843
#34
49.62.5
44.647.1
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned