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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125185100150200250153159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
24Coral scored#23
86Coral points81
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
114Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#12
10L3#5
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
153Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#15
62.21.1
41.842.9
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
blue by 16.9
4391
#11
79.11.1
77.776.7
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
3357
#22
52.41.1
44.946.0
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
blue by 10.9
63.31.1
49.648.6
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Third
6861
#37
40.01.1
38.239.3
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
red by 2.4
6120
#30
37.61.1
36.335.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned