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Qual 82025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red121
168448.7
81536.5
776973.0
Blue136
543646.9
657048.4
511037.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161126100150200250121136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
72Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
121Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#13
73.02.5
62.3→59.8
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
red by 24.6
6570
#21
48.40.5
40.4→40.9
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
Second
1684
#29
48.72.5
38.7→36.2
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
red by 1.8
5436
#32
46.90.5
42.7→43.3
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
Third
815
#38
36.52.5
40.5→38.0
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
blue by 0.6
5110
#35
37.10.5
33.6→34.1
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned