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Qual 92025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red163
285150.8
835233.0
21757.9
Blue158
354653.9
150655.1
600248.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11617550100150200163158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points38
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +33
29Coral scored#14
103Coral points52
3Processor algae#6
5Net algae#5
18Processor points36
20Net points20
38Algae points56
141Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#4
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
163Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
57.92.3
47.4→49.8
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 2.7
1506
#17
55.11.2
53.7→52.5
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
Second
2851
#20
50.82.3
39.0→41.3
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
blue by 3.1
3546
#24
53.91.2
47.9→46.7
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
Third
8352
#27
33.02.3
30.7→33.0
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
blue by 15.6
6002
#40
48.61.2
62.9→61.7
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsMissed