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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160147100120180200220240167168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
21Coral scored#28
77Coral points99
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
101Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#8
7L2#12
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
167Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.8
61.061.8
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 6.0
64.71.5
59.661.2
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Second
5843
#34
49.60.8
47.147.9
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
blue by 2.2
3322
#14
51.81.5
45.547.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
Third
5534
#39
42.70.8
40.441.3
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
red by 5.1
5695
#36
37.71.5
31.533.1
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned