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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1911800100300400160154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
21Coral scored#19
76Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
114Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#7
7L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
160Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#16
61.01.4
55.854.4
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
blue by 2.4
63.31.2
61.260.1
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Second
3668
#19
57.81.4
59.958.5
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
red by 8.2
5843
#34
49.61.2
51.149.9
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Third
50.51.4
54.753.3
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
red by 1.7
1684
#29
48.71.2
47.746.6
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned