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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194213140160180220240260280211203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
22Coral scored#29
78Coral points105
5Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
30Processor points24
20Net points20
50Algae points44
128Total teleop149
Reef
13L4#15
7L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
211Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#13
73.00.9
67.768.6
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
blue by 7.3
67
#1
80.40.0
76.276.2
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
65.90.9
57.658.5
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
red by 1.1
64.70.0
68.768.7
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Third
3546
#24
53.90.9
52.553.4
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
red by 13.9
6861
#37
40.00.0
43.843.8
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned