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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180167100150200250159208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points75
2Processor algae#5
8Net algae#7
12Processor points30
32Net points28
44Algae points58
103Total teleop133
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#10
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points12
159Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.9
54.253.3
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
blue by 5.1
68.82.3
60.262.4
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
3322
#14
51.80.9
52.051.1
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
blue by 0.6
3357
#22
52.42.3
46.849.0
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
Third
6002
#40
48.60.9
55.454.5
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
red by 0.2
6570
#21
48.42.3
44.046.3
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned